F-35 β Unfortunately, yet another procurement scandal at the Swiss Department of Defense. Plenty of press, plenty of frustration β but very little constructive debate.
I've been following public procurement around the world for years, and Switzerland is far from alone when it comes to major scandals:
πΊπΈ Boeing 787: $6 billion β $32 billion
π¨π¦ Phoenix Pay System: CAD 310 million β up to CAD 5 billion
π©πͺ Berlin Airport: β¬1 billion β β¬6 billion
π¬π§ NHS IT Program: Β£6.4 billion β ~Β£10 billion
Just to name a few. Youβd think weβd learn from this. But unfortunately, the reaction is often: more #control, more #regulation, less #trustβboth in procurement agencies and suppliers. A true #lose-#lose situation.
To be clear: I donβt believe anyone acted with bad intentions. No one sets out to cause a scandalβnot even in the current F-35 case (compare with official Report in German). What weβre really dealing with is a #systemic #problem.
And thatβs what makes the situation so difficult: Existing processes and frameworks only help to a limited extentβthey donβt address the root causes. A hammer isnβt always the right tool.
π I want to address those root causes. What practical steps can we take to reduce risk for all parties? To use taxpayer money more effectively? To make procurement processes faster and more efficient? Where do we start?
Not in theoryβbut hands-on and measurable.
π¬ Got specific questions? Drop them in the commentsβIβll address them.
π© Facing concrete challenges? Send me a message.
Image Source: breakingdefense.com
My Observations and Recommendations β Practical, Hands-on, and Measurable
Mirko Kleiner - Iβve been following Switzerlandβs procurement of new fighter jets since 2019. For those interested in the full timeline, Watson has provided a great summary: [Watson article in German].
First off, I was not directly involved and therefore have no first-hand insights. My observations are derived from publicly available information. I may be misjudging some individuals since I cannot know all the details.
Still, I would have liked to contribute my experience, because what Iβve seen so far strongly suggests that the F-35 procurement was a scandal foretold.
Below are my initial observations of the F-35 procurement process, including a systematic context and practical recommendations for improvement.
π§© Observation #1 β Outcome or Prestige?
Switzerland has committed to neutrality and, broadly speaking, only requires defensive systems. In peacetime, fighter jets are used for air policing. This raises a fundamental question: Why does Switzerland need new fighter jetsβand specifically an F-35, a stealth-capable attack bomber?
This appears to be the first dilemma for procurement authorities. My assumption: At the time of procurement, Switzerland's defense strategy wasnβt up-to-date. And so, there was no clarity about what future air defense capabilities were truly needed. The retirement of current jets doesnβt automatically mean new fighter jets are the right solution.
Thereβs also a strong indication that decision-makers were dazzled by the best tech available, which led to overbuying. For example, is stealth capability really necessary?
This inevitably leads to more demanding requirements and higher costs.
My recommendations β Practical, hands-on, and measurable:
Strategic alignment: Every procurement should be grounded in the bigger pictureβhere, the national defense strategy. If this doesnβt exist or is outdated, it must come first. Analogous to private-sector investments, procurement should follow strategy. In this case, that might have led to different solutions: drones, hybrid systems, or European collaborations.
Outcome-based: Requirements should be defined by outcomes, not technical specs only. For example: βIntercept flying object within X minutes.β This opens up different solution paths. Prioritized needs help avoid βnice-to-haveβ features that drive up costs. Cost savings of 20%+ are realisticβequivalent to US$1.2 billion in this case.
Clear boundaries: Strategic direction must include legal, technical, and financial constraints. For example, a Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) ceiling over the systemβs full lifecycle.
π§© Observation #2 β Serious Evaluation or Just for Show?
Which providers are even eligible? In procurement terms, this falls under market research and evaluation. Regardless of whether an open or selective process is used, evaluations depend on criteria based on needs, strategy, and market intelligence.
Before the vote, a balanced evaluation catalog was communicated. But if the needs werenβt clearly defined, the evaluation couldnβt have been robust. And thereβs the suspicion that a favored solution was βwantedβ from the beginning.
The idea that the U.S. offer was the best is questionable. There are numerous reportsβeven from the U.S. itselfβof the F-35 being underdeveloped. Ongoing technical problems and massive cost overruns are well-documented. Just Google βF-35 scandal.β
Also, reports say Swiss pilots couldnβt properly test the plane because itβs only available as a single-seater. In other words, they bought it sight unseen.
My recommendations β Practical, hands-on, and measurable:
Wider evaluation criteria: Include references, performance data, and cost histories from other countries. This improves transparency and avoids the infamous βsalami tacticsβ of low initial bids followed by costly upgrades.
Clear disqualification criteria: Vendors with repeated issues elsewhere should be automatically disqualified. Period.
Independent procurement team: Cross-functional, empowered, and ideally shielded from political interference.
Jointly developed evaluation logic: Include military, legal, and technical experts early on to co-create criteria.
Ensure comparability: If practical tests (like in the F-35 case) canβt be done, compensate in the evaluation or document the limitation transparently.
π§© Observation #3 β Fixed Price? Itβs Complicated
Fixed-price contracts are often seen as safe. But for complex projects, that safety is mostly illusionaryβunless the scope is 100% clear.
Swiss voters approved a CHF 6 billion budget cap - a fixed price by law. Procurement teams seem to have handled it responsibly: locking in exchange rates, factoring inflation, and requesting full TCO estimates.
Still, the question remains: What exactly did the contract cover? My guess is that rather than outcome-based needs, it focused on features and functionsβleaving room for interpretation and cost creep.
Worse, reports suggest that the fixed price wasnβt backed by Lockheed Martin. Also, the U.S. terms apply, with no defined dispute resolution.
My recommendations β Practical, hands-on, and measurable:
Transparent commercial terms: Clearly state budget constraints and define what is includedβideally based on TCO.
Focus on needs, not solutions: Price should be tied to outcomes and support requirements.
Control the contract: Swiss law should apply. The buyer defines the rulesβnot the vendor.
Collaborative subcontracting: Involve strategic subs during evaluation to jointly assess risks. Consider open-book pricing models to prevent supplier abuse.
Iterative delivery: Especially for innovations, define prioritized options that can be activated progressivelyβthis reduces risk and improves ROI.
π§© Observation #4 β Is the F-35 a Bottomless Pit?
Now comes the toughest question: βCut losses or push through?β If there are no procedural or contractual errors, the current deal stands.
Fact 1: The CHF 6 billion cap canβt be honored without cutting back. Since the number of jets wasnβt specified, this is legally okay but publicly problematic.
Fact 2: Experts warned operating costs would be far higher than quoted. That means likely reductions in scope or quality.
And with ongoing technical issues, the F-35 risks becoming a bottomless money pit.
My recommendations β Practical, hands-on, and measurable:
A cap is a cap: The government is legally bound to CHF 6 billion. If thatβs not enough, options must be reducedβor the U.S. must offer concessions.
Exit scenario: Good practice is to define an exit strategy upfront. This could mean a temporary pause to assess the situation, without further payments.
Reassess needs: Take this opportunity to revisit whether the original assumptions still apply. The strategic landscape has changed.
Personally, I canβt fully judge the technical or operational aspects. But my gut says: the contract should be halted, needs redefined and prioritizedβand a leaner, more reliable solution pursued.
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